TY - JOUR T1 - The tide to come: elderly health in Latin America and the Caribbean. JF - J Aging Health Y1 - 2006 A1 - Alberto Palloni A1 - Mary McEniry A1 - Rebeca Wong A1 - Pelaez, M. KW - Aged KW - Aged, 80 and over KW - Caribbean Region KW - Child KW - Diabetes Mellitus KW - Forecasting KW - Health Status KW - Heart Diseases KW - Humans KW - Latin America KW - Malnutrition KW - Middle Aged KW - Mortality KW - Nutritional Status KW - United States AB -

This article introduces a conjecture and reviews partial evidence about peculiarities in the aging of populations in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) that may impact future elderly health status. Using Survey on Health and Well-Being of Elders data (SABE; n = 10,902), the authors estimated effects of early childhood conditions on adult diabetes and heart disease. Using Waaler-type surfaces, the authors obtained expected mortality risks for SABE and also U.S. elderly (Health and Retirement System, n = 12,527). Expected mortality risks using Waaler-type surfaces among elderly in LAC reflected excesses supporting our conjecture. There was partial evidence of a relation between various indicators of early childhood nutritional status (knee height, waist-to-hip ratio) and diabetes and even stronger evidence of a relation between rheumatic fever and adult heart disease. There is some evidence, albeit weak, to suggest that the conjecture regarding elderly health status' connection to early conditions has some merit.

PB - 18 VL - 18 IS - 2 N1 - Article English U1 - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16614340?dopt=Abstract U4 - childhood conditions/diabetes/heart disease/Latin America/health/health outcomes/nutritional status/mortality/STATURE PREDICTION EQUATIONS/ADULT HEALTH/CHILDHOOD/MORTALITY/GROWTH/MORBIDITY/DYNAMICS/FRAILTY/IMPACT ER -